img NBA

Oklahoma City at Los Angeles

November 27, 2007
img10:30 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Not a lot to get excited about with the Sonics. They are 2-6 on the road with five of those losses coming by 14 points or more. Lately, the Lakers haven't been too exciting either, as they have now dropped three straight. This isn't the Lakers of old that were winning 50-60 games a year and dominating their home court. The odds makers seem to want you to believe they are. Over the last 2+ years the Lakers have dropped five of their last six games when favored by 10 or more points. You can see they don't get the "double-digit" billing much anymore. The reason is simple, they are not dominating anymore. The Sonics have managed to cover at a 16-5 ATS rate over teams with a winning record. The Lakers don't seem to get too excited playing at home against a team with a losing record as they are just 4-13 ATS in their last 17 games. This is too many points, and we will ride the Sonics.

3 units on Oklahoma City +11.5 (-110) (risk 3 to return 3)
Result:
WIN
1
2
3
4
T
Oklahoma City Thunder
25
29
19
26
99
Los Angeles Lakers
30
24
31
21
106
odds odds
 
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