This pick was released to clients on May 11, 2014 at 9:02AM ET.
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Oklahoma City at Los Angeles

May 11, 2014
img3:30 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

A must-win for the Clippers, at home but down 2-1 in the series. With so much at stake, look for the Clippers to bring their A-game defensively. They are not all about offense either, despite being No. 1 in the NBA in scoring. The Clippers can play great defense for Coach Doc Rivers, 14th in the NBA in points allowed and No. 1 at defending the three-pointer. They will try to attack Kevin Durant and Russell Westbrook early on to slow them down and try to make someone else beat them. And Serge Ibaka won't miss just one shot and score 20 points like he did in Game Three. The Thunder can play defense, too, third in the NBA in field goal shooting defense and 12th in points allowed. Expect a great defensive effort early, and for the First Half of this Game to go UNDER the total. In addition, the Clippers are a tremendous bounce back team, 16-7 ATS in their last 23 games following a loss. They have more offensive options to go to than OKC does, and the Thunder is 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The great Los Angeles offense only shot 45% the last game and 7-of-26 from long range, and the Thunder is 5-11-1 ATS in their last 17 road games. Play the Los Angeles Clippers and the Thunder/Clippers First Half UNDER the Total in Game Four.

1 unit on Los Angeles -4.5 (-115) (risk 1 to return 1.95)
Result:
LOSS
1.5 units on 1st ½ Total UNDER 109 -110 (risk 1.5 to return 2.93)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Oklahoma City Thunder
99
Los Angeles Clippers img
101
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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