Oklahoma City at Los Angeles

This series has projected to be a big advantage for home court, as both these teams were tops in the Western Conference at home in the regular season at 34-7. The Clippers got their breakthrough game in the opener with a 17-point win, and will take their home court prowess into game three, to try to take the series lead. The Thunder have enjoyed three straight games at home, and will be playing on the road for the first time in over a week. The problem they face is that they are allowing over 110 points per game in their last three, and if they can't defend at home, they are going to be up against it here. The Clippers are 22-1 straight-up at home when hey score more than 110, and 15-8 ATS. The oddsmakers have this one at -4 with a total of 214, projecting a 109-105 score. The 109 points at home is right in the Clippers' wheelhouse for success, and the Thunder have struggled on the road vs. a winning team at 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10. LA bounces back off a loss at 20-8 ATS in their last 28 when following a setback. Make the play on the Clippers.