Oklahoma City at Houston

First place Oklahoma City heads to last place Houston and the value with this play is with the favorite on the moneyline. Oklahoma City has a winning road record, winning at Memphis and Minnesota by 4 and 3 points. This is the second of a home and home series between these teams and the Thunder just smoked Houston at home 109-94. Oklahoma City has a nice frontcourt edge with Kevin Durant, Serge Ibaka and Kendrick Perkins and they shot 52% against Houston. Houston center Jordan Hill had only 2 rebounds and 6 points in 23 minutes. The home team has been good against the spread in this series, but the Thunder are 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings. The Thunder are 58-17 straight-up the past three seasons vs. losing teams and 16-3 vs. teams at .400 or worse. Under Scott Brooks, they are 49-16 vs. teams like Houston that get outscored by 3+ points per game. Meanwhile, Kevin McHale is just 314 straight up at home in his coaching career vs. teams that score 99+ points per game. I like OKC on the moneyline here.