This series should be a very exciting one with potential MVP's James Harden, and Russell Westbrook on full display. The formula for Houston is to squeeze off as many shots as they can, and launch a ridiculous number of threes. The Rockets have let fly with at least 24 attempts from beyond the arc every single game, and in half their games have hoisted 40 or more. Oklahoma City is an average team at defending the three, so expect a significant number of three-pointers made by Houston. The last two times these teams got together they averaged 249 in total points. These games produced 138 attempts from deep with 58 connecting, or a 42% conversion rate. It is hard to imagine anything less, despite the fact that this is a playoff game, as both teams carry the shooter's mentality. I think more of the scoring is going to come in the second half in this game, however, and the first-half total doesn't reflect that with the first-half total set at well over half of the game total. Houston hasn't played good defense this season overall, but it's not been too bad at home in the first half. While they have allowed 108.3 per game at home, they have only given up 52.7 per game in the first-half while allowing 55.6 in the second half. I also think the offenses will get untracked later in the game after both teams get loose. Take the first-half UNDER and the full game OVER in this one.
This pick was released to clients on April 16, 2024 at 11:36AM ET.
NBA
Oklahoma City at Houston
April 16, 2017
9:05 PM Eastern
1 unit on 1st ½ Total UNDER 115 -103 (risk 1 to return 1.97)
Result:
WIN
WIN
1 unit on Game Total OVER 227 -110 (risk 1 to return 1.91)
Result:
LOSS
LOSS
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