Oklahoma City at Cleveland

As I stated earlier, Oklahoma City is a bad team with just one straight-up win in their past 10. They are however, 29-15-1 ATS (66%) on the year and the Cavs at this price is an overlay. OKC is getting 59-percent of the money right now for good reason. The Cavs are averaging 107.5 PPG this year, 20th overall, and the Thunder are 8-1 ATS this season against teams that score in this range. One of the biggest things for Oklahoma City today is ball control. They're #8 in the league with 13.4 turnovers per game (Cleveland is T-24 at 14.8), and when the Thunder play a disciplined game they are 51-30 ATS (63%) the past three seasons. They fell behind quick vs. the Spurs and Hornets, but this is the final game of a disappointing road trip and I'm expecting a strong effort. Big, double-digit dogs that got lit in the first-half of back-to-back games are 52-24 ATS (68%). Grab all the points you can find with the Thunder.