New York at Washington

The Wizards are having a nightmare season, and could never be considered the value team when posted as a favorite. They have only won five games at home this season. When you look at the fact that three of them were against Utah, Cleveland, and Detroit, it is easy to see that those teams were no-shows. The fact is they are 2-7 SU and ATS at home against teams with a losing record. They are also just 1-8 ATS as a favorite on the season, covering only against a team worse than them - Oklahoma City. The Knicks are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 as a dog, and have already beaten the Wizards twice. I'll back the Knicks here.