New York is putting up 99 per game over their last five and allowing a dismal 106 per contest. Milwaukee has had scoring problems (97 per on the season) and their defense has fallen apart as of late (101.6 per game over their last five). So, both teams are allowing well over 100 per game right now. Think these teams can each put up 98 or more tonight? I do. And if that happens, we've got an easy OVER. This season, when New York & their opponent have scored 98+, the game has gone over 23 out of 24 times. When Milwaukee & their opponent have scored 98+, the game has gone over 24-0. That's a combined 47-1. Not bad. But let's not stop there. New York is 16-6 OVER versus poor defensive teams that are allowing 99+ points/game this season and 16-5 OVER when playing 6 or more games in 10 days this season. Milwaukee is 11-3 OVER versus poor defensive teams with shooting pct defense of >46% this season. This one looks like an easy call. Three stars on this to go over 202.
This pick was released to clients on September 21, 2012 at 8:11PM ET.
NBA
New York at Milwaukee
April 3, 2005
1:00 PM Eastern
3 units on Game Total OVER 202 -110 (risk 3 to return 5.73)
Result:
WIN
WIN
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