This pick was released to clients on May 12, 2023 at 11:50AM ET.
img NBA

New York at Miami

May 12, 2023
img7:45 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Jalen Brunson played all 48 minutes and had 38 points, nine rebounds and seven assists as New York won Game 5 by a 112-105 score, but it's unlikely the Knicks and Brunson can come near to duplicating that performance on the road with one day of rest. The Knicks scored only 14 points in the first quarter but came back and added 36 in the second, and Miami was held to 42 percent shooting and 13-for-43 from 3-point range for the game. The Heat have won all four of their home games in the playoffs and they are 32-15 at home this season. The Knicks have gone UNDER six straight following a win and five of six on the road. Miami has covered the spread its past six home contests and the Heat are 8-1 ATS playing with one day of rest and New York is 1-4 ATS its past five games and 7-3 UNDER its past 10. Take the Heat ATS, make it a Max Play on the first half UNDER, and play the full game to stay UNDER.

1.5 units on Miami -5.5 (-110) (risk 1.5 to return 2.86)
Result:
LOSS
2 units on 1st ½ Total UNDER 106.5 -110 (risk 2 to return 3.82)
Result:
WIN
1 unit on Game Total UNDER 208.5 -110 (risk 1 to return 1.91)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
New York Knicks
31
19
21
21
92
Miami Heat img
24
27
23
22
96
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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