New York at Miami

This is a big game for the Knicks. They are playing their best basketball of the season, winning eight straight games, and could be on a collision course with Miami for the Eastern Conference Finals. The Knicks have done a great job this season in matching the defensive intensity of the Heat, as they have held them to 91.7 points per game in the three meetings this season. The Knicks have not allowed any team more than 102 points in the eight-game winning streak, and I expect them to bring it on defense here especially with LeBron, Wade and Chalmers all likely out for this game. Miami has allowed 100+ points just two times in their last 18 games, with no one scoring over 103, so this total looks a little too ambitious to me. The Knicks are 11-3-1 to the UNDER in their last 15 vs. a winning team, and the UNDER is an identical 11-3-1 in the last 15 meetings between these clubs. In the Eric Spoelstra era, the Heat are 105-82 UNDER to a total set in the 190s and 104-77 UNDER after back-to-back wins. Go with the UNDER.