New York at Indiana

The home team has won every game of this series. New York's O.G. Anunoby is questionable (Hamstring) to play, their fourth-leading scorer in the playoffs (16.4 points per game). The Knicks have already lost All-Star Julius Randle (24 ppg, 9.2 rpg) along with Bojan Bogdanovic (10.4 ppg) and Mitchell Robinson to season-ending injuries. NBA road underdogs like the Knicks that outrebound opponents by 3+ boards per game are 183-283 ATS. Up-tempo Indiana is 22-10 ATS when playing four or fewer games in 10 days. Indiana has won all four of its home playoff games and is 27-16 ATS after playing a home game, plus 29-12 ATS after a game where they failed to cover. Play Indiana.