New Orleans at Houston

New Orleans has covered three of its last four road games against tough competition. In fact, they won three of those straight up with a 107-91 win at Dallas as a 7-point underdog, a 123-104 blowout at the Clippers as a +7 underdog, and a 98-97 win at Utah as a double-digit dog. New Orleans is No. 1 in the NBA from the free-throw line (81.5%). Meanwhile, Houston is on a 13-33 spread run at home and ranked #27 in the NBA in points allowed. The offense is #23 in points scored, #24 in shooting, #23 from long range, and dead last from the charity stripe (70.2%). The Rockets are 10-32 ATS versus losing teams and 14-31 ATS against teams that allow 46% shooting or worse. Play New Orleans.