New Orleans at Golden State

The New Orleans Pelicans may have had their best chance against Golden State on the road in Game 1. They had a lot of mojo going their way after an easy four-game sweep over third seeded Portland. That was soon taken away by Golden State - even without Stephen Curry, who may play in Game 2, as he is listed as probable. The Pelicans' fast pace, shoot-fast offense is right in the wheelhouse of the Warriors, who make you pay for every bad shot. While the conversion rate was low for Golden State as they had just 11 fast break points, the easy looks on offense got them going early. The Pelicans slowed the game down some in the second half, but by then it was to late. Golden State was 19-3 at home this season when Curry played 20+ minutes, and won by 14 points per game. Golden State is immediately associated with offense especially with Curry on the floor, but they are a lot better defensively than given credit for, and that has led to huge overlays on their totals at home in the playoffs. Golden State is now 31-14 to the UNDER in their last 45 playoff games where they have held opponents to 96.9 ppg. A team that opens round 1 at home in round 2 is 100-49 SU in Game 2, and I think there will be points to spare on the cover. Take both Golden State and the UNDER.