This pick was released to clients on April 20, 2015 at 10:47AM ET.
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New Orleans at Golden State

April 20, 2015
img10:35 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

What the heck happened to the Warriors free throw shooting in game one? It was an oddity, missing 13 freebies (61.8%) for a team that was #9 in the NBA all year at the charity stripe (77%). Golden State let a 25-point lead slip down to four before finishing it off with a late run. Still, they dominated New Orleans for most of the game, allowing 42% shooting while winning the battle of the boards. Let's not forget that this is no ordinary NBA team, one that ranked #1 in scoring and shooting, plus #1 in field goal shooting defense. That combo is exceptionally rare. The Warriors are 15-3 ATS in Conference Quarterfinals games and Golden State has won 19 straight at home. New Orleans has a losing road record and is not a stellar defensive team, #23 in field goal shooting defense and 4-9 ATS in Conference Quarterfinals games. The Pelicans are 1-5 ATS in their last six road games and they are 3-7-1 ATS against the Warriors, including 1-4 ATS at Golden State. Take Golden State in game two. Also take the OVER. The Warriors average 113.1 per game at home this season. Over their last five games they have socred 115.2 per game. The Pelicans have averaged 102.2 per game over their last five and dating back to last season, they are 73-59 OVER vs. teams like Golden State that attempt 18+ three-pointers per game. This game should sail over this total. Take the Warriors and the OVER.

1 unit on Golden State -12 (-110) (risk 1 to return 1.91)
Result:
LOSS
1.5 units on Game Total OVER 205.5 -105 (risk 1.5 to return 2.93)
Result:
LOSS
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
New Orleans Pelicans
28
24
19
16
87
Golden State Warriors img
17
38
16
26
97
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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