This pick was released to clients on August 07, 2012 at 8:38PM ET.
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Brooklyn at Miami

May 8, 2006
img8:05 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

We have continued to see that during playoff series' this year that the home teams continue to win game one and to win it handily. The home team earned it and they have the advantage in the "feel-out" game. No adjustments yet from the coaches (that happens in games 2-7). Just the better team at home, fired up to start off on the right foot. I believe Miami will come out of the gates and play strong, especially after some scare games in the Chicago series. They might hit a slump eventually during the series as this will likely drag into a 6 or 7 game series. The Nets are a horrendous road playoff team as they are 2-8 ATS of late and 0-8 ATS when playing after a straight up win. They are also 2-6 in their last eight visits to Miami. Last year Miami swept this series winning by an average of 13 points per game. Heat big here.

4 units on Miami -4.5 (-110) (risk 4 to return 7.64)
Result:
LOSS
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