Brooklyn at Dallas

The public is lining up on Dallas here as if they knew the final score, with over 80% backing Dallas minus the points. Yes, the Mavs have won 12 in a row, but guess what? The value has got to be on the other side at this point as the linesmakers shade the line. Where is the value? On a team like New Jersey - a team that has won just seven games all season. Despite their woes straight-up, this team has gone 12-7 ATS since late January including 3-0 in their last three. They have won seven straight ATS on the road! Let's compare the way these two defenses have been playing. Over their last six games, Dallas has allowed 104 points per game while New Jersey has allowed just 99. And here's the kicker: The Mavs are 1-12 ATS this season at home vs. losing teams. Dallas wins this, but I think by less than 11 points.