Minnesota at Phoenix

Phoenix is a big favorite, but are only 10-7 at home and outscoring teams for the season by just 2 points on average. The defense is a weak spot at #28 in points allowed and the Suns are 1-3-1 ATS against the Western Conference. The Minnesota Timberwolves are on a 4-1 ATS run on the road, including a 110-101 win at Indiana the last game. Mo Williams shot 19 of 33, including 6 of 11 from three-point range, scoring 52 points. Williams is averaging 24.4 points over his last five games, including a 23-point, 11-assist effort in last Wednesday's 113-111 loss to Phoenix. The Timberwolves are 4-1 ATS playing on two days rest and when these teams meet the road team is 16-5 ATS in the last 21 meetings. Take Minnesota for the cover.