This pick was released to clients on April 28, 2024 at 12:01PM ET.
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Minnesota at Phoenix

April 28, 2024
img9:30 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

There is no question who the much better team is in this series as Minnesota has taken a 3-0 lead after burying the Suns 126-109 on Friday. Anthony Edwards had 36 points and led six double-figure scorers for the Timberwolves, who had a 50-28 edge in rebounds. Minnesota is just a slight favorite in Game 4 and we need to take advantage as it has covered five of six as a favorite of 0.5-4.5 points and 6-2 ATS overall after a double-digit win. Phoenix is 6-14 ATS against teams with .600 winning percentages and 0-9 ATS its past nine playoff games as an underdog. The Suns have averaged only 99 points the first three games and they are 21-7 UNDER their past 28 home games. Also, the Suns are 9-4 UNDER following a loss and 24-10 UNDER after an ATS loss. Phoenix is 2-6 ATS its past eight games and 0-3 ATS in this series. Take the Timberwolves and the first half and the game UNDER all as Max Plays

2 units on Minnesota PICK (-110) (risk 2 to return 3.82)
Result:
WIN
2 units on 1st ½ Total UNDER 104 -110 (risk 2 to return 3.82)
Result:
LOSS
2 units on Game Total UNDER 213 -105 (risk 2 to return 3.9)
Result:
LOSS
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Minnesota Timberwolves img
25
31
34
32
122
Phoenix Suns
26
35
31
24
116
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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