Minnesota at New Orleans

Minnesota has won three of four and is anchored by a tough defense for coach Tom Thibodeau, #14 in field goal shooting allowed. Two of those wins were as underdogs against Oklahoma City and Miami. The Timberwolves are 8-2 ATS when their opponent allows 100+ points in their previous game. They are also 10-4 UNDER the total on the road against a team with a winning home record. They are a dog again today to a stumbling New Orleans squad that is on a 1-6 SU/ATS skid, losing twice as chalk. The Pelicans are also on an 8-3 run UNDER the total, including five straight UNDERs at home where they play their best defense. However, this is a bad matchup for them at 0-5 SU/ATS the last five meetings with Minnesota, including a 107-100 Timberwolves win last month that sailed UNDER by 27 points as both teams shot below 42.7%. Play Minnesota and the UNDER.