Minnesota at Miami

Minnesota comes here with a 3-19 record, which provides an opportunity for finding line value. Most look at this team and get ill thinking of backing them, which is where the line value comes from. This team often gets huge spreads from which to work because the books can't get action on them. The fact is they have been money in this range, as they have cashed 9 of 13 when getting 8.5+ points. Last year's team finished 7-26 SU, yet on only five occasions were they a dog of 8.5 or more points. Last year with that 7-26 finish they were beaten by double digits in 57.6% of the losses. This year it's just 36.8%. See the line value? Last year just five games with a line of 8.5+ in those 33, this year already 13 in 22 games. Miami is not what they once were. In fact they have only managed one win by this many points all season, and are just 2-9 at home. They have lost two straight, so they are far from a hot team. We will ride this overlay and back the T-Wolves to hang tough.