This pick was released to clients on May 26, 2024 at 11:15AM ET.
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Minnesota at Dallas

May 26, 2024
img8:07 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Minnesota is going to have to lean on its great defense after dropping the first two of this series at home. The Timberwolves were No. 1 in the NBA in points allowed during the regular season and are fourth in the playoffs. Minnesota is on a 55-39 run UNDER the First Half Total, including 47-30 UNDER the First Half Total as an underdog. They're also 19-10 ATS on the road versus winning teams and 19-10 ATS as a dog. In addition, NBA road teams like the Timberwolves revenging a loss to an opponent of 3 points or less off a loss as a favorite are 44-23 ATS. Dallas is fifth in the postseason in points given up and second in field goal shooting allowed (43.7%). With Minnesota 35-25 UNDER the First Half Total against winning teams, look for a fierce defensive effort from both teams right from the opening tipoff and back the talented dog for the game. Take Minnesota + the First Half UNDER the total. 

1 unit on Minnesota +2.5 (-110) (risk 1 to return 1.91)
Result:
LOSS
1 unit on 1st ½ Total UNDER 102 -105 (risk 1 to return 1.95)
Result:
LOSS
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Minnesota Timberwolves
28
24
35
20
107
Dallas Mavericks img
33
27
27
29
116
odds odds
 
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