This pick was released to clients on September 19, 2012 at 2:05PM ET.
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Minnesota at Boston

March 4, 2007
img12:35 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Boston has picked things up after posting a franchise-record 18 straight losses. They have since won four of eight games and they've posted three straight wins both SU and ATS. I know this sounds weird, but the Celtics are now over-valued! This is the perfect contrarian pick given that we have an opponent who has been losing (2-5 SU and 0-7 ATS in last seven games). Minnesota is still the better team here. Boston is 6-20 ATS at home this season including 3-12 ATS vs. losing teams. They are 2-13 ATS at home following a road upset win the past three seasons. We'll back the better team as a dog here. Minnesota is 15-5 OVER this season in non-conference games and 17-6 OVER vs. losing teams. The Wolves have struggled to score lately but shouldn't have a problem with that today. We'll go OVER here as well.

2 units on Minnesota +1 (-110) (risk 2 to return 3.82)
Result:
LOSS
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