This pick was released to clients on May 15, 2024 at 10:53AM ET.
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Milwaukee at Boston

May 15, 2022
img3:30 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

The Celtics got 46 points from Jayson Tatum on Friday to win Game 6 by a score of 108-95. Boston now gets a Game 7 on home court and that is huge in the NBA Playoffs. Friday's game stayed UNDER by 9.5 points and Milwaukee has gone UNDER nine of its past 11 games. The Bucks also hold a 10-3-1 UNDER record in their past 14 conference semifinal games. Boston is 12-3-1 ATS the past 16 meetings and the Celtics are 12-3 UNDER their past 15 conference semifinals games. The Bucks are a small underdog in this matchup and they are 11-23 ATS their last 34 games as underdogs and 8-18 ATS as dogs on the road. Boston shot 44 percent and Milwaukee just 41 percent in Game 6 and the teams stayed UNDER in the first half. Note that all three games at Boston in this series have stayed UNDER in the first half, as well. Giannis Antetokounmpo had 44 points and 20 rebounds on Friday and the Bucks still couldn't pull it out. Three plays on this game: Take the Celtics (Max Play), take the first half UNDER, and play the full game to stay UNDER

2 units on Boston -5 (-102) (risk 2 to return 3.96)
Result:
WIN
1 unit on 1st ½ Total UNDER 99.5 -105 (risk 1 to return 1.95)
Result:
WIN
1.5 units on Game Total UNDER 206 -110 (risk 1.5 to return 2.86)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Milwaukee Bucks
26
17
21
17
81
Boston Celtics img
20
28
31
30
109
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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