Milwaukee at Toronto

The Milwaukee Bucks have made a quick and decisive turnaround from a year ago, and look to be a playoff caliber team. The Bucks boast a 37-15-1 ATS mark when taking on an opponent that allowed 100+ in their last game in their last 53 in this spot, so it appears they have been able to take advantage of a team not committed to the defensive end. Toronto had a taxing last two games on the road as both went to overtime, and the commitment to the defensive end tonight will likely be lacking. Milwaukee allowed 100+ in two straight games prior to holding Portland to 88, but that is misleading as their was an inordinate amount of shots taken in that game with 171. This game fits a totals situation which is 120-69 to the OVER and is already 3-0-1 this year. Make the play on the OVER in this one.