This pick was released to clients on September 17, 2012 at 11:08PM ET.
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Milwaukee at San Antonio

December 26, 2006
img8:05 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

In our view, San Antonio has emerged as the #1 defensive team in the leauge. They are allowing jujst over 90 per game they have held six of their last ten opponents to 82 or fewer points. Seven of the last eight games in this series played here in San Antonio have gone UNDER. And, that includes games with totals MUCH lower than this one including the last four: 190, 184.5, 189, 184, 180.5. This is certainly a different Bucks team than years' past as they are lighting up the scoreboard and playing no defense. But the Spurs will take this as a challenge and they have a way of turning good offenses into average ones, especially here in San Antonio where they are 10-4. They are 67-46 UNDER here over the past three seasons and when favored by 6.5-9 points, they are 26-9 UNDER. Not often you get a total over 200 with the Spurs at home but we'll take it and go UNDER.

3 units on Game Total UNDER 201 -110 (risk 3 to return 5.73)
Result:
LOSS
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