Milwaukee at Sacramento

Don't laugh: Milwaukee is covering...a lot! Oddsmakers are undervaluing this team now, on a 6-2 ATS run, plus a 16-6-1 ATS run. The Bucks are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road games.  They need to play a weak defensive team to have a shot at a win, and there are few worse teams defensively than the Kings. Sacramento is 25th in the NBA in points allowed, 20th in field goal shooting defense (46% allowed), and second to last at defending the three-pointer (37.7% allowed).  The Kings are 8-19 ATS in their last 27 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Sacramento has the third-worst record in the Western Conference and has lost six of its past eight games after being routed by the San Antonio Spurs on Friday. The Kings are ahead of only the lowly Los Angeles Lakers and Utah Jazz in the West. Sacramento put up a poor effort in the home loss to the Spurs, shooting 40 percent from the field, and 61.1 percent from the free-throw line while setting a season low for points in the 99-79 home loss.  When these teams meet, the underdog is 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings, the road team is 11-2 ATS, and the Bucks are 6-1 ATS in Sacramento. Play Milwaukee.