Milwaukee at Sacramento

The Bucks are sitting at 46-14 but they face a very tough opponent to play at home. The Kings are 12-18 on the road this season, but 19-11 at home, including wins in nine of their last 10 games. In those 30 games, they are 21-9 ATS. Giannis is officially listed as probable in this game but may again sit for rest. Sacramento thrives against teams that rely on the long-ball. The Kings are 34-23 ATS this season vs. teams that attempt 18+ three-pointers per game. They are also 27-16 ATS this season vs. teams like the Bucks that allow 106+ points per game. The Kings are also 19-8 ATS at home to a high total of 220 or greater. Take the points on the Kings to keep it close.