This pick was released to clients on July 17, 2021 at 1:10PM ET.
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Milwaukee at Phoenix

July 17, 2021
img9:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Home cookin' is alive and well in this series as the home team has won all four games. The pressure is off Milwaukee after getting back in the series, but the Bucks are 3-11 ATS as an underdog as well as 5-12 ATS as a playoff dog. With so much at stake, both teams will bring their A-games defensively. Milwaukee is fourth in the postseason in points allowed and opponents' field goal shooting, and fifth at defending beyond the arc. The Bucks are 22-8 UNDER the First Half Total as an underdog, as well as 31-16 UNDER the First Half Total on the road. Phoenix is No. 1 in the playoffs allowing 103.6 points per game and 43.3% shooting, and fourth at defending area code three. The Suns are on a 52-39 run UNDER the First Half Total, including 14-5 UNDER in the playoffs. Phoenix has covered eight of the last 11 meetings, so back the Suns for the game and look for a strong, defensive first half. Play Phoenix ATS and take the first-half to stay UNDER the total.

1.5 units on Phoenix -4 (-110) (risk 1.5 to return 2.86)
Result:
LOSS
1.5 units on 1st ½ Total UNDER 107.5 -105 (risk 1.5 to return 2.93)
Result:
LOSS
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Milwaukee Bucks img
21
43
36
23
123
Phoenix Suns
37
24
29
29
119
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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