Milwaukee at Phoenix

The Milwaukee Bucks have hit a rough spot in the long NBA season. The Bucks are in a 5-14 ATS rut and obviously playing much below the line. What is interesting, and likely going unnoticed, is the Bucks' five covers have come vs. Boston, New Orleans, Dallas, and Cleveland (twice). Those are all winning teams. The Bucks are 13-9 ATS vs. a winning team, so I expect a different vibe to this game. Phoenix is 28-21, and were projected to be better, but injuries held them back. They have played a lot better of late at 10-3 in their last 13, but that is just 3-3 in their last six. I think the Bucks are getting disrespected in the line, and I will make the play on Milwaukee.