This pick was released to clients on May 29, 2023 at 11:37AM ET.
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Milwaukee at Miami

May 29, 2021
img1:30 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Miami is just no match for the Bucks this year after beating them in the playoffs in 2020. Milwaukee has won the first three games of this series by an average of 21.6 points and that includes an overtime game. The Bucks held a 56-41 edge in rebounds and limited the Heat to 38 percent shooting in Game 3. Giannis Antetokounmpo had 17 points and 17 rebounds and Khris Middleton scored 22 points. Obviously, the Bucks are overwhelming the Heat, who are 9-20-2 ATS their past 31 games after a loss, 4-9 ATS overall as an underdog. Miami is averaging only 96.3 points in the series and Game 3 went UNDER by 27 points. The Heat is shooting just 38 percent and they scored only 36 points in the first half on Thursday. There is no sign of these trends changing and Miami is 7-2 UNDER its past nine conference quarterfinal games. Take the Bucks and the first half and game UNDER.

1 unit on Milwaukee -4.5 (-105) (risk 1 to return 1.95)
Result:
WIN
1 unit on 1st ½ Total UNDER 109 -108 (risk 1 to return 1.93)
Result:
LOSS
1 unit on Game Total UNDER 221.5 -103 (risk 1 to return 1.97)
Result:
LOSS
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Milwaukee Bucks img
22
35
34
29
120
Miami Heat
26
38
21
18
103
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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