Milwaukee at Miami

Miami has gone UNDER 12 of 18 games, and its past six Saturday games have stayed UNDER. The Heat are #7 in the NBA, allowing 109.8 points per game, and Milwaukee is #3 in 3-point shooting defense, allowing just 34.6 percent from beyond the arc. Three of the past four meetings have gone UNDER. Miami has stayed UNDER three of four, including its 110-108 loss to Memphis on Thursday. The Heat have allowed only 100.5 points in their past four games and held three of their past six opponents to fewer than 100 points. Miami seems to start clamping down defensively as it gets close to playoff time. Take the UNDER.