This pick was released to clients on May 02, 2024 at 11:57AM ET.
img NBA

Milwaukee at Indiana

May 2, 2024
img6:33 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Milwaukee got a win in Game 5 to trim Indiana's lead in the series, but now the Pacers can close it out at home. The Bucks are still without Giannis Antetokounmpo, and Damian Lillard is doubtful. Indiana is 46-38-3 ATS this season and Milwaukee is 17-25 ATS on the road. The Pacers have alternated ATS wins and losses their past 10 games and they have won seven home games in a row with a 5-2 ATS mark. The Bucks shot 52 percent on Tuesday and the game still stayed UNDER by 11 points. Indiana is 9-3 UNDER its past 12 games as a favorite and 25-12 UNDER overall its past 37 first round games. Dating back to the 2021-22 season, the Bucks are 77-53 UNDER in the first-half in road games including 34-21 UNDER forllowing a win. The Pacers are 16-5-2 ATS following a loss and and 7-1 ATS after losing by 10-plus points. Indiana is 34-16-1 ATS following an ATS loss. Take the Pacers (Max Play), the first-half UNDER, and the full-game UNDER.

2 units on Indiana -8 (-112) (risk 2 to return 3.79)
Result:
WIN
1.5 units on 1st ½ Total UNDER 110 -110 (risk 1.5 to return 2.86)
Result:
WIN
1.5 units on Game Total UNDER 214.5 -110 (risk 1.5 to return 2.86)
Result:
LOSS
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Milwaukee Bucks
24
23
31
20
98
Indiana Pacers img
33
26
34
27
120
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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