Milwaukee at Indiana

Just one of those years where a talented team gets wrecked by bad luck and injuries. Milwaukee has lost the last two games, 125-108 and 121-118. Star Giannis Antetokounmpo (30.4 ppg, 11.5 rpg) is battling a calf injury and is unlikely to play. Chris Livingston is out, Damian Lillard (24.3 ppg) strained his Achilles in Game 3 and is unlikely to play, while Khris Middleton (15.1 ppg) will try to play despite a right ankle sprain. The Bucks are 19-33 ATS as an underdog, including 8-20 ATS as a road dog. They face an attacking Indiana offense that led the NBA in scoring (123.3 ppg) and is healthy. The Pacers are 22-14 ATS versus defenses that allow 116+ points per game, 29-15 ATS when playing just their second game in five days, and 27-11 ATS after a game where they failed to cover. Play Indiana.