Milwaukee at Detroit

The Bucks have already won nearly as many games as they did after the All-Star break last year. They finished injured physically and emotionally, but are healthy and responding. They closed 3-18, and within that stretch were considered as a +12.5 dog at Detroit. This line reflects they are just three points better than that team. I disagree. The true indication of a team undervalued is apparent in their 12-4 ATS record through the first 16 games. The odds-makers simply have not caught up to this team yet. The Pistons outside of a track meet against the "ole" defense of the Knicks, have struggled offensively averaging just 85.5 points per game in their four games before that one. It's asking a lot of a team to cover nearly double-digits struggling offensively against a team well under the radar. I like the points and the Bucks here.