Milwaukee at Detroit

While we generally don't like to jump into heavy chalk in the NBA too often, we have a case here in which the value can't be overlooked. Milwaukee is the NBA's worst road team. They are just 5-35 SU in their last 40 road games. This season they are following the same path, as they are 2-14 SU and 6-10 ATS. A closer look shows they are 6-2 ATS vs teams with sub-.500 records, and 0-8 ATS vs teams .500 or better! The eight games have featured the Bucs going down by an average of 19ppg! The only close game was a 4-point loss to Portland, who was actually a sub-.500 team at the time. The Pistons are taking no prisnors at home. They are 12-2 at home, and in those twelve wins the average margin of victory has been 17 ppg! They have won 10 out of the 12 by double-digits including six in a row. Milwaukee has averaged losing to the good teams by 19. Detroit is beating everyone by an average of 17, so this line is big, but full of value. We will ride the Pistons in what should be another blowout.