Milwaukee at Detroit

Home court and emotion tie into this one. Milwaukee  is off an emotional win at home last night over the defending champs, thumping them 104-85. Milwaukee came in having alternated between wins and losses over the last seven games and it was the Bucks' first sellout of the season. Now they head out on the road into the Detroit cold. The Bucks are 8-21 ATS in their last 29 games playing on no days rest and 7-19 ATS following a win. Detroit has quietly been playing good basketball, on a 3-1 SU and 4-0 ATS run, including a win over Miami, 109-99. They've had a day to rest and this will be Detroit's second game of a five game home stand. The Pistons are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. And when these teams meet the home team is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings and the Bucks are 3-7 ATS in the last ten meetings in Detroit. In addition, this won't be an uptempo first half. Milwaukee played last night against the champs and despite the final score, it was close all the way until a 35-14 fourth quarter. Three Milwaukee starters played 30+ minutes and Brandon Jennings played 42. Milwaukee is a fine defensive team, tenth in the NBA in points allowed, while the Pistons are 13th. The UNDER is 4-1 in the Pistons last five home games where they played their best defense and the under is 20-7 in the Bucks last 27 games following a win. Look for a slow paced first half: Play the Pistons and the First Half UNDER the Total in this one.