Milwaukee at Dallas

The Mavericks haven't played with the same fire on the road as they did last year, but have been just as invincable at home, coming into this game with a 20-3 mark. They have won 12 of their last 13 here, failing to cover on just four occasions. The Bucks appear to be without Michael Redd again tonight, or at least less than 100%. The Bucks road woes have been a continuing saga. They have faced off with 11 teams on the road with winning records, and have an 0-11 SU mark, and are 1-10 ATS. The odds-makers just can't give this team enough points, as they are not only 1-7 ATS as a double-digit road dog. The line value is tremendous. The Bucks have not only failed to cover in 10 of 11 in this situation, but have lost to the pointspread by an average of 11.6 ppg! The Bucks would actually be only 3-8 ATS to a line of +16 in these games, and only 4-7 ATS if the line was +19! It's hard to ignore these numbers, and we will ride the heavy chalk here.