Milwaukee at Atlanta

The Atlanta Hawks are surprisingly off to a 21-7 start and have lost just two games at home on the season. They are playing as well as any team right now at 14-1 in their last 15 games, but there is a price to pay for that as they have now become an over-valued team. Milwaukee is a vastly improved team from a year ago at 14-15 as they did not win their 14th game until March 27 last season, and they are getting some disrespect in the line here. The Bucks have fared well when facing a team that is not off a good defensive effort as they weigh in at 21-5-1 ATS in their last 27 games vs. an opponent that allowed 100+ in their previous game. Milwaukee has also bounced back nicely off a loss where they are 12-3 ATS on the season. The Hawks have lost momentum on a pair of days rest where they are 17-35-1 ATS in their last 53. Make the play on Milwaukee.