This pick was released to clients on September 30, 2020 at 12:12PM ET.
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Miami vs. Los Angeles

September 30, 2020
img8:30 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Eric Spoelstra has done a phenomenal job coaching the Miami Heat into the Finals. The Heat took down the Celtics in six games, topped by a 125-113 victory on Sunday. Bam Adebayo scored 32 points and grabbed 14 rebounds, and Jimmy Butler added 22 points as the Heat shot a blistering 56.2-percent. However impressive that series was for Miami, it now runs into a Los Angeles team that not only has a ton of talent, but also has won eight of its last nine games. Dating back to last season, the Lakers are 80-61 to the UNDER vs. teams like the Heat that allow 106-plus points per game. Los Angeles is also 77-61 to the UNDER vs. teams that score 106-plus points per game. Miami is in a tough spot after its big win over Boston, and under Erik Spoelstra, the Heat are 88-62 UNDER following an upset win and 181-146 UNDER after a double-digit win. The Lakers are also on a 48-29 run to the UNDER after scoring 105-plus points in three straight games, including a 30-18 UNDER record after putting up 105-plus points in five straight. I'm taking the opener of this series to stay UNDER the total.

1 unit on Game Total UNDER 218 -105 (risk 1 to return 1.95)
Result:
WIN
Final
1
2
3
4
F
Miami Heat
28
20
19
31
98
Los Angeles Lakers img
31
34
28
23
116
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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