This pick was released to clients on October 09, 2020 at 11:40AM ET.
img NBA

Miami vs. Los Angeles

October 9, 2020
img9:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Miami is on the verge of elimination, but the Heat is not going down quietly as it covered the number for the third game in a row while losing 102-96 in Game 4 as a 7.5-point underdog. Jimmy Butler tied the game with 6:27 left, but LeBron James scored the next five points, and the Lakers never relinquished the lead while winning. The Heat obviously will be just as desperate in Game 5, and it currently is on a 14-4 ATS run. Three of the four games in the Finals have stayed UNDER, and Tuesday's game went UNDER by 20.5 points. Miami is 7-3 ATS and 5-2 UNDER its last seven games playing on two days rest. Also, six of the last eight meetings overall have gone UNDER. The UNDER is 12-5 in the Lakers' last 17 games versus teams with winning records. Take the Heat and the UNDER.

1 unit on Miami +7.5 (-115) (risk 1 to return 1.87)
Result:
WIN
1 unit on Game Total UNDER 216 -105 (risk 1 to return 1.95)
Result:
LOSS
Final
1
2
3
4
F
Miami Heat img
25
35
28
23
111
Los Angeles Lakers
24
32
26
26
108
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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