Miami at San Antonio

San Antonio has been the best ATS team since the Tim Duncan era began a long time ago. The Spurs are very much in contention for the best overall record in the NBA, and can pin a 16th loss on the Heat tonight, which would make these teams even in that regard. The Spurs are playing well, winning six of their last seven, and catch the Heat off a physically and emotionally draining loss on the road at Houston by a scant 3 points. Many think that the Heat as a dog is an automatic win, but they are 3-5 ATS in the last three years as a dog of +2 or less. The Spurs are 47-23-1 ATS in their last 71 against the East, and the home team has prevailed in five of the last seven meetings in this series. Take San Antonio.