Miami at San Antonio

Miami will be focused on playing defense for four full quarters, or their season is over. And San Antonio can't shoot any better than they did in the two games in Miami. You don't win two straight titles without defense, and let's not forget that during the regular season Miami was fifth in the NBA in points allowed. They've also been ranked fifth in the playoffs in points allowed (95.1 points per game). The UNDER is 7-1 in the Heat's last eight games playing on two days rest, plus 8-3 UNDER the total following a loss of more than 10 points. The last time they met on this court, Game Two, Miami won 98-96 holding the Spurs to 43.9% shooting. San Antonio plays great defense, too, sixth in the NBA in points allowed during the regular season. The UNDER is 15-7 after the Spurs have a spread cover, plus 4-1 UNDER the total following a blowout win of more than 10 points. Look for more defense than oddsmakers expect as the UNDER is 26-12 in the last 38 meetings between these teams. Play the Heat/Spurs Game Five UNDER the Total.