Miami at Sacramento

Miami is a long way from home but plays well on the road because of defense. Miami has a winning record on the road and ranks third in the NBA in points allowed and field goal shooting defense. The Heat is on a 6-2 run UNDER the total after winning at Portland the last game allowing 108 points. Portland is top 10 in the NBA in scoring, but Miami held them to 45.2% shooting as Center Hassan Whiteside had four blocks and helped his team to win the rebound battle by +13. Miami is 36-13-2 ATS on the road against teams with winning home records, including 27-9-1 ATS away versus a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. Sacramento has made changes to the roster through trades the last week, off a blowout loss at home to Houston scoring 101 points. The Kings are on a 12-3-1 run UNDER the total, plus 28-10 UNDER against the Eastern Conference. Miami is on a 10-4 ATS run in this building, so back the defensive dog in a low-scoring tilt. Play Miami and the UNDER.