Miami at Orlando

The Heat have been a major disappointment so far, having lost six games out of their first 14. After back-to-back losses, I am ready to back them here as an underdog. Miami crushed the Magic earlier this season by 26 so we know they can matchup. Orlando has been winning a lot of games, but they aren't covering. They are just 2-8 ATS in their last ten games. The Magic are 0-7 ATS this season vs. teams that hit over 75% from the free throw line (Miami hitting 77%). Miami has been a no-show in certain games this season. But, vs. their cross-town rival after two bad losses, I like the Heat to show up here and keep it close if not win. I also like the UNDER. Orland has been bringing the "D" all season long with nine of their 13 opponents have failed to top the 90 point mark on the season. The Heat have limited opponents as well with 12 of 15 failing to reach the century mark. The first meeting between these clubs this season played out like a playoff game and produced just 166 total points. I don't expect to see anything different here. The Heat bring in a 19-7-2 UNDER mark on the road in their last 28 road games, while the Magic are 50-22-1 to the UNDER in their last 73 after scoring 100 or more. They are also 42-16-1 following an ATS loss. I like Miami and the UNDER here.