This pick was released to clients on May 10, 2024 at 10:58AM ET.
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Miami at New York

May 10, 2023
img7:30 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Miami always seems to save the best for last as they barely make it into the playoffs and then step it up big. The Heat are doing it again, winning six of their past seven while covering the spread in all of them. Miami took a 3-1 lead in the series with a 109-101 victory on Monday as Jimmy Butler scored 27 points and Bam Adebayo added 23 points, sending New York to the brink of elimination. The Knicks were out-rebounded for the second game in a row and Immanuel Quickley is doubtful with an ankle injury, adding to their injury woes. Miami is 13-5 ATS its past 18 meetings at New York and is an incredible 40-16-1 ATS its past 57 conference semifinal games. Of the past 26 meetings at New York, 20 have stayed UNDER, and the Knicks have played UNDER seven of their past nine overall. New York scored only 48 points in the first half on Monday and 44 points before intermission in Game 3. New York was held to 34 percent shooting and 8-for-40 on 3-point tries in Game 4. Take the Heat for the game, and play the first half to stay UNDER the total.

1.5 units on Miami +4 (-110) (risk 1.5 to return 2.86)
Result:
LOSS
1 unit on 1st ½ Total UNDER 107.5 -110 (risk 1 to return 1.91)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Miami Heat
24
23
27
29
103
New York Knicks img
14
36
34
28
112
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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