This pick was released to clients on April 30, 2024 at 11:15AM ET.
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Miami at New York

April 30, 2023
img1:15 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

New York held the Cavaliers to under 100 points four of the five games in the conference quarterfinal and that is almost unheard of these days in the NBA. Cleveland averaged only 94.2 points and all five games went UNDER and by an average of nearly 20 points. The Knicks have won and covered four of the past five meetings with Miami, including 101-92 on March 29 and the game went UNDER by 32.5 points. Jalen Brunson averaged 24.0 points and RJ Barrett 17.4 against the Cavaliers and Julius Randle hopes to play today after spraining an ankle on Wednesday. New York has covered four straight with at least three days rest and the Knicks are 10-4-1 ATS their past 15 home games and 25-9-1 ATS after winning by double digits. The Heat are 9-28-1 ATS following an ATS win and the UNDER is 20-6 the past 26 meetings at New York. Miami is 0-6 ATS after scoring at least 125 points its previous game. Take the Knicks spread as a Max Play and the first half and game to stay UNDER.

2 units on New York -4 (-110) (risk 2 to return 3.82)
Result:
LOSS
1 unit on 1st ½ Total UNDER 107 -110 (risk 1 to return 1.91)
Result:
WIN
1.5 units on Game Total UNDER 209.5 -110 (risk 1.5 to return 2.86)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Miami Heat img
21
29
31
27
108
New York Knicks
32
23
20
26
101
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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