Miami at New Orleans

Miami plays great defense but they seem to have thrown that to the wind lately as over their past five games, they are allowing nearly 5 more points per game over their season average. New Orleans will struggle to score here but this total is so low, and they are so well rested, that they'll get enough to get over it. games in which the total is between 180 and 189.5 points featuring a well-rested team off a close win by 3 points or less over a division rival have gone OVER 36-9 (80%) since 1996. Also, teams revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, coming off a road win against a division rival go have gone OVER 62-25 (71%) over the last 5 seasons. One stars on the over.