Miami at Minnesota

The Minnesota franchise has not produced a competitive team since Kevin Garnett was here. That goes back a long time. They have what amounts to a negative home-court advantage, especially when they are a dog. This is a team that is 68-235 SU in their last 303 games as a home dog, and covering has been a challenge as they are also 111-185-7 ATS as a home dog. Their last two games against weak defensive teams saw them shoot 34.5% and 37%, and now they have to face one of the better defenses in the league in Miami. The Heat is allowing just over 104 points per game in their last nine. That is problematic because Minnesota has allowed 110 or more in 16 of its last 19 games. The math doesn't work for this line. Make the play on Miami.