Miami at Milwaukee

Despite a tough 1-point loss at Indiana, the two-time defending NBA Champion Miami Heat is just one game in the loss column shy of the Pacers for best overall record in the East. I'm looking for the Heat to keep the pressure on. One sign that the Heat are ready to win is the defense that has held the last three opponents to 84.3 points per game. Milwaukee has played better of late, but they will be up against a focused Miami defense, and that means lights-out for the Bucks here. The Bucks are 3-40 straight-up when they score less than 100 points, and just 13-30 ATS this season. Miami has the defense turned up, and that turns out the lights on the Bucks in this one. Play on Miami.