Miami at Indiana

The Indiana Pacers won the first game of this series, and looked like they were in strong position to give the Heat a run. They have not looked like the same team since. They have dropped the last three and face elimination tonight. The threat of elimination should gather their focus and energy, and the home crowd should rejuvenate their egos to make a good run here. Indiana has proven that when they find their "A" game they are the better team, but have lacked that presence on a consistent basis the entire second half of the season. People forget that the Pacers are +7 at home in this series in points scored. Roy Hibbert scored just 16 points in the two games at Miami, and totaled just 7 boards, while in the two games in Indiana he posted 31 points and 22 rebounds, and will make a big difference here for the Pacers. Teams leading in an NBA series 3-1, having won three in a row and played two on the road, two at home, and now on the road again are just 8-18 straight-up all time. Take the points on Indiana.